Week 15 Review

Patriots vs. Broncos

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The Broncos held a 16-7 lead, before a calamity of turnovers.  They coughed up the ball and couldn't stop the Patriots on third down, leading to 27 unanswered points and a 34-16 lead.  The Patriots never looked back after that as they went on to win 41-23.  This is a minor setback for Tebow, but it showed a few things about Tebow.  He showed that he could throw in the beginning of the game when he had to, and that had been questioned coming into this game.  The Broncos were simply overwhelmed as this game continued, but it was a good check for them as they get ready for the playoffs.

Broncos (+7.5) Loss

Redskins vs. Giants
An embarrassing game for the Giants.  They are now in a position where they basically need to win the last two games to assure the playoffs.  They were never in this game against the Redskins, even after starting the game with a pick of Grossman.  The game was ugly from the beginning and the Redskins showed everyone that they do indeed have a defense that can click and stifle an offense.  The Giants need to rebound next week, in what will be a crazy atmosphere in New Jersey.  They take on the Jets at MetLife Stadium, in front of a crowd that will primariliy be Jets fans.  It will be a crazy game, and they way it looks now, will be a very tough game on both teams.
Giants (-7) Loss

Packers vs. Chiefs
Who saw this coming?  The Chiefs defeated the Packers in a shocking game.  The Packers had to think this game was going to be the easiest one left in the season, but they were stunned by the Chiefs in Kansas City.  Kansas City was led by Orton in his first start.  He threw for 299 yards going 23/31.  Rodgers just could not get anything going and their hopes for an undefeated season ended.  On Thanksgiving, I still thought they would not pull off the undefeated season, but they finally got me believing after the last two games.  And now this week, it ends.  Good win by the Chiefs in this one.
Packers (-12) Loss

Jets vs. Eagles

The Jets fell behind 28-0 in what looked like the rout in Baltimore earlier this season.  They were able to salvage 13 points at the end of the half to make it a 28-13 game, but the Eagles struck for another TD to start the second half and would continue to pile it on.  The Jets were helped by the Titans losing, but hurt by the Bengals winning.  They now must win the final two games if they want to make it to the playoffs.
Jets (+3) Loss

Saints vs. Vikings

Brees put up 5 TDs and 412 yards in this game.  The Saints blew out the Vikings, as they should have, and move to 11-3 this season.
Saints (-8) Win

Seahawks vs. Bears
Lynch did not put up a lot of yards, only 42, but he ran for 2 TDs.  The Seahawks had no problem in the second half putting away the lifeless Bears.  The Bears have no QB, and are slowly slipping out of the playoff picture.
Seahawks (+3.5) Win

Dolphins vs. Buffalo
Miami went to Buffalo in the snow and pulled off the victory.  Reggie Bush thought he was back at USC, running for over 200 yards.  They won 30-23, as Buffalo has now lost 7 in a row.

Buffalo (even) Loss

Panthers vs. Texans

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The first half was dominated by the Panthers, and unlike last week, they were able to maintain the lead and win this one.  Carolina jumped out to a 21-0 lead and carried it to halftime.  They would hold on to win, 28-13.  The Texans playoff position still looks good, but they will have to battle for a first round bye.  

Panthers (+6) Win

Titans vs. Colts
The Colts finally win a game, and do it against a Tennesse team that is battling for a playoff spot.  Donald Brown took control of the game, with 161 yards rushing and a TD.  The Colts finally fill the win column this season.
Titans (-7) Loss

Bengals vs. Rams
Cincy gave up a late TD to bring the score closer, but it was not a close second half. The Bengals controlled the second half, after trailing 6-3 at half time.  They relied heavily on their running game with Benson and Scott.  The Bengals remain in the playoff hunt after pulling off this win.

Bengals (-7) Push

Lions vs. Raiders

The Lions completed a 98 yard drive with two minutes left to take the 28-27 lead against Oakland.  The Lions remain in the hunt for the playoffs after this comeback win in Oakland.
Lions (-1.5) Loss

Browns vs. Cardinals

Seneca Wallace filled in nicely for McCoy in this one.  The Browns jumped out to a 10-0 lead before they surrendered a TD with 25 seconds left in the half.  Wallace found Little in the third for a 76 yard TD to make it 17-7.  The Cardinals came back however, and tied it at 17 to force the game into overtime, where they would go on to win on a field goal, 20-17.

Cardinals (-6.5) Loss

Ravens vs. Chargers

The Chargers dominated this one and are keep their playoff hopes alive.  The Ravens are not as good a team on the road as they are at home, and this trend continues.  They will now battle with the Steelers for the division in the final two weeks.  

Chargers (+3) Win

MNF- Steelers vs. 49ers

The Steelers were unable to play well with a hobbled Big Ben.  They now fall to 5th place in the AFC and miss their opportunity to claim the first seed.  The 49ers continue to roll and dominated in this game.  Both teams are headed to the playoffs, so this one was all about positioning for the playoffs.

Steelers (+3) Loss

TNF Jax vs. Atl - Win -  http://nargonsports.blogspot.com/2011/12/thursday-night-football-week-15.html 

Dal vs. TB - Win - http://nargonsports.blogspot.com/2011/12/saturday-night-football.html

Week 15 @ the Half

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Surprises all around the NFL.  The unbeaten Packers are losing to the Chiefs 6-0.  We know they have a good defense, but really?  Packers need to pick it up here.  The Giants are behind 17-3 against the Redskins, even with a couple Grossman picks.  Carolina and Cam are beating up the Texans, lets see if they can hold onto the big halftime lead this week.  The rest of the games right now are real close.  Cincy trails the Rams 6-3 at halftime.  New Orleans is beating the Vikings 21-13 as they scored a TD with under 2 minutes left in the half.  Miami is beating the reeling Bills.  Chicago scored a late TD to take the lead on Seattle.  The Titans are barely beating the Colts at the half.

Week 14 Review

 Game of the Week

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          Giants vs. Cowboys
The Giants (7-6) entered this game looking to take first place in the NFC East from the Cowboys (7-6) and take control of the rest of their season.  They began the game strong, sacking Romo for a safety and then added a 23 yard field goal on their next possession.  The Cowboys responded with a TD pass from Romo to Phillips to put Dallas on top 7-5 at the end of the first.  Jacobs ran for a 1 yard TD (and then did a little jig on the star in the endzone) to give New York a 12-7 lead.   Romo again responded with a 9 yard TD to his favorite scoring machine, Laurent Robinson, to give them a 14-12 lead.  The giants would make a field goal, giving them a 15-14 lead.  A field goal with 20 seconds left for Dallas gave them a 17-15 lead at halftime.  After another field goal by Bailey for Dallas, the Giants would take the 22-20 lead on a long 47 yard TD pass from Manning to Manningham in the third quarter.  Romo connected with Robinson for 74 yards and then hit Austin for a 6 yard TD, to take the 27-22 lead in the fourth.  Eli and the Giants would drive again midway through the fourth.  They converted on a 4th and 3 on the Cowboys 37, before Sean Lee intercepted a ball in traffic and off of  a Giants player.  Dallas would beat the Giants coverage and score a huge TD on a pass to Bryant to give Dallas a 34-22 lead.  With over five minutes left, the Giants drove 80 yards in 2:27, as Eli connected on several big pass plays, and ended the drive in the endzone on an 8 yard pass to Ballard with 3:14 remaining, and now trailing 34-29.  The Cowboys went three and out, giving the Giants a chance to win the game.  Manning drove the Giants down field again.  After Manningham dropped a perfect pass that would have given the Giants the lead, Manning composed himself, and continued to drive down field.  The Giants scored a TD with 46 seconds remaining to take the 35-34 lead.  They executed a 2-point conversion to make it a 37-34 game.  Romo connected across the middle to Austin, and then spiked the ball to set up a 47 yard field goal attempt by Bailey.  The kick sailed up and was good, but the Giants called a timeout prior to the snap.  Bailey had to reset himself and do it all over again.  Pierre-Paul would get through the line, and block the following field goal attempt.  The Giants won the game on a blocked field goal and an amazing comeback by Manning.  Manning had 400 yards with 2 TDs and an interception.  Jacobs ran for 101 yards as Bradshaw was benched for the first half.  Nicks had 154 yards on 7 catches.  For Dallas, Romo had 321 yards and 4 TDs.  Felix Jones replaced Murray, and had 16 carries for 106 yards.  Murray left this game with a fractured right ankle, putting the rushing duties in the hand of Felix Jones once again.  This is a huge loss for the Cowboys if Murray is indeed done for the rest of the season.  He was running over teams but now will be sidelined, we will have to see for how long.  Robinson continues to put up insane numbers, catching 4 passes for 137 yards and a TD.  Dallas now need to fight to make the playoffs, as they are in 8th in the NFC.  They will have an uphill battle in the following three weeks.  

Giants (+3) Win

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Bears vs. Broncos

What can be said about this game.  The game was scoreless at halftime, and the Broncos trailed 10-0 with just over four minutes left in regulation.  Tebow drove down field in 2:26, completing 7 of 7 passes for 63 yards, including a 10 yard TD to Thomas to make it a 10-7 game.  They then tried an onside kick that failed.  The Bears took over with 2:08 left, running a play to go to the 2 minute warning.  Out of the warning, Barber took the ball, and ran out of bounds inexplicably.  This allowed the clock to stop for the Broncos.  They had a chance if they could stop the Bears on the next play, a 3rd and 5.  Barber only got one yard, forcing a punt to the Denver 11 yard line.  Denver had 53 seconds to tie the game.  Tebow would manage the game perfectly with those 53 seconds.  He hit Decker for a 9 yard gain, and Decker got out of bounds.  From the 29, Tebow passed to Ball for 11 yards to get to their own 40, where Tebow spiked the ball.  He completed a pass to Willis for 19 yards, where he ran out of bounds.  Tebow missed his receivers on the next 2 passes, and on the following play, scrambled out of bounds for no gain at the Chicago 41 yard line.  This set up an improbable 59 yard field goal attempt by Matt Prater...no chance right?  Wrong.  Prater hit it, to send the game to OT.  Chicago started the overtime with the ball and drove down field.  They were in field goal range, when another crazy play happened for Tebow and the Broncos...Barber fumbled the ball and Denver recovered.  Tebow time again.  He threw an incompletion  followed by a 2 yard pass to McGahee.  On a 3rd and 8, Tebow passed to Thomas for 10 yards and a first down.  Tebow was sacked, and then completed a 16 yard pass to Thomas again, down to the Chicago 40.  After a 1 yard McGahee run, Tebow ran for 5 yards, and then ran for another 1 yard.  This set up a 4th and 3, and a 51 yard field goal attempt to win the game.  Prater would line up, take the kick, and complete another amazing comeback for the Broncos, who are now 8-5.  Tebow will get it done.  He will motivate his teammates and impossible will happen.  He finished going 21 for 40 for 236 yards, a TD, and an INT.  He added 12 carries for 49 yards.  He has led the Broncos to three OT wins this season, and 6 wins in a row.  He is 7-1 as a starter this season.  Tebow is captivating the nation with what he is doing, and whether you love him or hate him, it is amazing to watch.

Broncos (-3.5) Loss

Vikings vs. Lions
This was a very close game.  Surprisingly, the Vikings started to get back in the game after Ponder was removed.  Ponder had turned the ball over three times, and was battling an injury coming into the game.  The Lions scored 31 points before halftime, and held a 31-14 lead at the break.  The Vikings added a TD in the third and fourth quarter, as the Lions would only add a field goal in the fourth.  The Vikings had a chance at the end of the game.  They were faced with a 4th and 6 on Detroit's 12 yard line.  They picked up 10 yards to get down to the 2, where they took a timeout with 9 seconds left.  Webb, who replaced Ponder, was sacked all the way back at the 11, and then fumbled to end the game.  The Lions held on to this one, but it was not easy.  They hold the last spot in the NFC playoff picture as of now.
Lions (-10) Loss

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             Chiefs vs. Jets
The New York Jets are in control of their own fate.  They currently sit in the final playoff spot in the AFC.  If they win out, they will make the playoffs.  They have to play the Eagles next week in Philadelphia, the Giants at the Meadowlands on Christmas eve, and the Dolphins to end the season.  Today, the Jets did what they were supposed to in this game...dominate a bad team.  They destroyed Palko in this game, sacking him five times.  They Jets performed a perfect bootleg for Sanchez to score the first TD of the game.  He then connected to Holmes for a 4 yard TD.  Greene ran all over the Chiefs, and would score the next TD, making it 21-3.  LT made brilliant moves on a pass from Sanchez to weave past defenders, and score on a 19 yard TD.  They led 28-3 at the half. Sanchez rushed for another TD in the 3rd capping off a great game where he went 13/21 for 181 yards and 2 TDs.  He also ran for 2 TDs.  Greene led the team in rushing and receiving, carrying 24 times for 129 yards and a TD, and adding 3 catches for 58 yards.  He is key to the Jets success should they make the playoffs.  Similar to last year, the Jets lose Jim Leonhard in this one, probably for the season.  If they just keep winning, they will attempt another improbable run in the playoffs.  
Jets (-11) Win

Colts vs. Ravens 
The Ravens did what they were supposed to against a winless team this week.  The Ravens won this one by two TDs.  They took a 17-0 lead, and gave up a TD as time expired to make the final score 24-10.  The Ravens remain in the lead of the AFC North, and currently are in second place in the AFC playoff picture, trailing only Houston.  
Colts (+17) Win

Saints vs. Titans
The Saints hung onto a 22-17 lead as time expired in this one.  The Titans received the ball back with 1:34 left, and Locker, who replaced Hasselbeck who left with a strained left calf, completed a 40 yard pass to Nate Washington who pinballed off defenders to the 5 yard line.  Locker had a slant to Mariani defended perfectly by Porter, who swatted it down to protect the lead.  Locker would have one more try, but he could not find anyone open, and ended up getting sacked to end the game.  The Saints needed a road win and got it here.  Brees had another great day, going 36 for 47, for 337 yards and 2 TDs.  Ivory stepped in with Ingram out, with 13 carries for 53 yards.  Colston had 7 catches for 105 yards and a TD.  Locker replaced Hasselbeck going 13 for 29 for 282 yards and a TD.  The Titans (7-6) with this loss, fell to 7th place in the AFC, and are now behind the Jets for the final playoff spot.
Saints (-4) Win

                                                          Texans vs. Bengals

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This game came down to the final seconds.  This was a key matchup to the AFC playoff picture, with the Bengals trying to hold on to their playoff spot.  The Texans were trailing 16-3 at halftime, and 19-10 with under six minutes left in the game.  They hit a field goal, and then get the ball back after the Bengals couldn't do anything.  They took the ball over with 2:33 left and 80 yards to go.  T.J Yates drove down field, accounting for all 80 yards and throwing a 6 yard TD to Kevin Walter with 2 seconds left in the game to give Houston a 20-19 win.  This opens things up in the AFC for the playoffs.  Houston clinched the division with the win and the Titans loss.  The Bengals now sit in 8th place, two spots out of the playoffs.  It might be their year next season, but it looks like this young team is just tired out now at this point of the season.  
Texans (+3) Win



Eagles vs. Dolphins
The Eagles dominated against the Dolphins today, after the Fins took a quick 7-0 lead.  Philly went on to score 24 unanswered points, and won 26-10.  Vick returned in this game for 208 yards, 1 TD and 1 pick.  The Eagles now hope to play spoiler to the Jets next week when they return home.  

Dolphins (-3) Loss

Patriots vs. Redskins
This game was as I predicted, close from beginning to end, and high scoring.  Brady threw for 357 yards, 3 TDs and 1 INT.  The interception came in the endzone, and almost allowed for the Redskins to tie the game.  Grossman would drive down the field with 6:30 left and trailing by a TD.  They got to the New England 5, when Grossman threw what looked like a game tying TD, but ended up being offensive pass interference on Moss.  The Redskins came up short on the next two plays, and would lose the game when Grossman's pass was tipped off of Moss's fingers, and landed in the hands of Mayo.  The Redskins played them close and had the lead at two points in the game.  They had the game tied at 27 in the fourth as well.  The Redskins played tough, but in the end, Brady and the Patriots succeeded again.  Gronkowski broke the tight end record for TDs in a season, as he had a ridiculous game, reeling in 6 catches for 160 yards and 2 TDs.  New England (10-3) are in 3rd place overall in the AFC.  
Redskins (+9) Win

Falcons vs. Panthers
You wouldn't know it by the final score, but Atlanta was trailing 23-7 at halftime.  The Falcons must have felt themselves slipping out of the playoffs, because they played with a bit of desperation in the second half.  They cut into the lead with a field goal, and then Matt Ryan hit Jacquizz Rodgers for a 31 yard TD.  That sparked the offense, as they were only trailing 23-17.  Julio Jones had been very quiet, until Matt Ryan started finding him in the fourth.  He caught a 17 yard TD pass a couple minutes into the fourth, which gave Atlanta a 24-23 lead.  Ryan connected again with Jones, this time for a 75 yard TD to make it a 31-23 game.  With just over four minutes remaining, Cam Newton connected with Steve Smith for a 48 yard pass, to give the Panthers a chance.  Cam couldn't connect on the next four passes, and the Panthers came up short in this one.  Matt Ryan had a huge game, with 320 yards and 4 TDs.  Jones had 3 catches for 104 yards and 2 TDs and White had 7 catches for 84 yards and a TD.  Gonzalez once again impressed, with 7 catches for 82 yards.  Newton had 276 yards, 2 TDs, and 2 INTs.  He added 36 yards rushing.  Steve Smith continued to impress with 125 more yards.  The Panthers fall to 4-9, and the Falcons are now 8-5.  Atlanta stays in the final 6 for the playoffs in the NFC with this win.  
Panthers (+3) Loss

Buccaneers vs. Jaguars
Tampa Bay was leading 14-0, before the Jags came back for 42 unanswered points.  Both these teams are well out of the playoff hunt, but the Jags still impressed with their play in this game.  The highlight of this game was MJD, scoring 4 TDs, 2 passing and 2 receiving.
Bucs (-3) Loss

49ers vs. Cardinals
The 49ers went into Arizona and fell victim to the Cardinals home field advantage.  Arizona is 6-7 overall, but are 4-2 at home.  Kolb left the game with a head injury and Skelton did a good job filling in for him.  Skelton had 282 yards, 3 TDs and 2 INTs.  San Fran had a 6-0 lead, before Skelton connected with Doucet on a 60 yard TD.  Akers added two more field goals for the 49ers before the half, to give the 49ers a 12-7 lead at halftime.  Gore broke out for a 37 yard run to make it 19-7 in the third.  Arizona would strike back with a 46 yard TD pass from Skelton to Fitzgerald to bring them within 5.  In the fourth, Skelton connected with Roberts for a 3 yard TD, to give the Cardinals a 21-19 lead, the score by which they won it.  The 49ers stumbled on the road here and gave away the lead, but they have clinched the division already and currently sit in second place in the NFC playoff picture, with a 10-3 record.  
49ers (-4) Loss

Raiders vs. Packers
There is really not much to say here, except the Packers are on their way to a perfect regular season.  They dismantled the Raiders, scoring 34 points before the Raiders were able to put up any points.  Ryan Grant started the scoring with a 47 yard TD run, and would finish with 85 yards and 2 TDs.  Rodgers had 281 yards, 2 TDs, and a pick.  The Packers lost Greg Jennings with a possible torn MCL.  The Packers are playing on an unbelievable level right now that no team can match.  For the Raiders, Palmer had 4 interceptions, and with all their injuries, seem to be falling out of the playoff picture fast.  They sit in 9th place in the AFC, with a 7-6 record.  
Packers (-13) Win

Bills vs. Chargers
The Chargers dominated this game, leading 16-0 at halftime, and winning 37-10.  Rivers was 24 for 33 with 240 yards and 3 TDs.  Ryan Mathews continued to run wild, with 114 yards on 20 carries.  The Chargers now sit at 6-7, and the Bills are at 5-8, losers of six straight.  Both these teams are pretty much out of the playoff hunt.
Chargers (-7) Win

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Monday Night Football
Rams vs. Seahawks
This one has no playoff implications for either team, but the Seahwaks will believe if they win out and have a lot of help, then maybe they have a chance.  I don't see it though. The Seahwaks this season, are a better team, especially at home.  They are going to win this game and depending on if Bradford plays, will determine how much they will win by.  If Bradford doesn't play I think it will be a big win for Seattle, but if Bradford plays, I can see St. Louis sticking around. Steven Jackson has been doing nothing for the Rams since week 11, so he doesn't look like he will be a factor.  He had three huge games prior to week 11, so maybe he has hit a wall.  As for Seattle, Lynch is coming off his best game of the season, piling up 148 yards rushing and 2 TDs against the Eagles.  Seattle also has extra rest, so I am taking Seattle to cover in this one.  They are the better team.

Update: The Seahawks dominated in this game, winning 30-13.  They continue to keep their slim playoff hopes alive, now sitting at 6-7.  The will need to win out if they want to stay in contention.  Lynch continues to put up crazy numbers, this week piling up 115 yards and a TD.  The Rams continue to struggle, and Bradford is having a season he wishes he could forget. 
Seahawks (-10) Win

TNF- Browns (+14.5) Win   http://nargonsports.blogspot.com/2011/12/thursday-night-football-week-14.html

Week 14 Record: 10-6
Season Record: 31-30-1

Week 14 Preview and Picks

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Week 14

Game of the Week

Giants vs. Cowboys
The Giants are coming off a thrilling game against the Packers that they almost won.  They now play their biggest game of the year against the Cowboys.  A win for the Giants means they will hold the lead in the NFC East.  A win for the Cowboys pretty much ends the Giants season, as they will fall 2 games back.  They do have another matchup this year against each other, but a lot will have to happen for the Giants to lose this and still be in contention when they meet again.  Dallas is coming off a loss that they should have won in Arizona.  I think they respond well in this game against the Giants, but it will not be easy.  Both teams have electric offenses that can explode with one play.  With the Giants getting Bradshaw back last week, we saw Jacobs run the ball well again.  When he is used in a secondary role, Jacobs is very effective, and last week carried 8 times for 59 yards and a TD.  The Giants need to keep the pressure on the Dallas defense, the same way they did against the Packers.  If they play as well as they did against the Packers, then they will win.  They need to play with their A game for the second week in a row.  Dallas needs to get the loss out of their heads from last week and focus on this weeks game.  A win here gives them control of the division, and both teams have tremendous opportunities in front of them.  I have a feeling that the Giants win this game.  But both teams have something rare that we don't see with many teams...they each have three great wide receivers.  For the Giants, it looks like Manningham will play.  And for the Cowboys, it looks like Austin will play.  Nicks, Manningham, and Cruz on one side, and Austin, Bryant, and Robinson on the other?  That can only mean both QBs throwing over 300 yards and a high scoring game.  It is going to be a shootout, with the Cowboys utilizing Murray more this week than last, and finding Dez Bryant and using his height and physicality to pull in a few extra catches.  The Giants will mix it up with Bradshaw and Jacobs as well as the aerial attack.  This game might go back and forth a few times, but after 60 minutes, the Giants will come away as the leaders of the NFC East.
Giants (+3)

Vikings vs. Lions
The Vikings will be without Peterson.  Ponder is playing, but he is reportedly hobbling in the warmups.  I think it is going to be tough for him to have a good game, even he has said he probably won't be 100 percent.  The Lions have lost three of their last four and five of their last seven.  Detroit is 5th in the league in passing yards and Minnesota is 26th in passing yards allowed, so on paper, the Lions should win this game easily. Ponder has been utilizing Harvin very nicely lately.  Last week he had 156 yards with 2 TDs, and in the last 3 weeks has 4 TDs.  He has also had five rushing carries per game the last three week, adding to his total yards each week.  Stafford is turning the ball over at a ridiculous rate, 10 picks in his last 4 games.  He has to play a bit safer and not give the Vikings opportunities on defense.  I do not think the Ponder will be able to have a good game battling the injury, so I will take the Lions here.
Lions (-10)

                                                  Bears vs. Broncos

The Broncos are favored in this game by 3.5.  I think this is just about where this game is going to be.  I am taking Tebow again, of course, but I do think it will be close.  The Bears have a great defense so Tebow will have to find ways to pick it apart and confuse them.  If the Bears get to Tebow more often than he can escape them, then the Bears will win this game, but I think that Tebow will be able to make a few big plays and win this one.  It helps that Chicago is without a QB and without Forte.  Forte is a huge loss for them and without him, the rushing duties fall on Marion Barber.  He will have a good game, but not good enough to carry them to victory.  I think that the Broncos are going to have to start embracing that they are a good team, and they are going to start beating teams before they get to the fourth quarter.  This might be their chance to do that at home against the depleted Bears.  I think the Amazing Tebows do it again and grab a firm hold on the AFC West.
Broncos (-3.5)

Chiefs vs. Jets
The Jets need to keep winning to keep their playoff chances alive.  Sanchez and the Jets were able to get through some rough spots in Washington last week, and hold on for the victory.  They seemed to start to click at the end of the game, so hopefully it carries over into this one.  The Jets however always make it interesting. But the Chiefs offense right now is so bad, that it is hard to think the Jets will not win by at least 10.  Sanchez is starting to find Holmes again, and this is pivotal to New York's success.  Greene returned to his playoff form last week, with 3 TDs.  If he has gotten his groove back then they Jets will win this game easily.  Greene and Sanchez seem to do better when the pressure is on, and at this point in the season, the pressure is certainly on.  Even if the Jets win out, they are not guaranteed a playoff spot, so it is essential that they win the games they need to win.  This one should allow them to figure some things out, but they have to stay focused, and not overlook this game, with a game in Philadelphia looming next weekend.
Jets (-11)

Colts vs. Ravens 
Ravens are 17 point favorites in this one.  The Colts won't win this game, but they won't lost by 17 either.  Flacco is not that explosive of a quarterback to make it a guaranteed blowout win.  The Ravens are playing to keep in front of the Steelers for the division.  A loss would put then behind them, and a win will match the Steelers 10-3 record, thus keeping the Ravens in first due to the tiebreaker.
Colts (+17)

Texans vs. Bengals
The Bengals are starting to tire out it seems.  They are a young team with Dalton at QB, and Green leading the way at WR.  The Texans are going to rely heavily on Foster and Tate in this one, and Foster will play a big role in the passing game as well.  As it stands now, both these teams would make the playoffs, but coming down the stretch, the Bengals really need wins.  They have 3 teams tied with them and as long as they keep winning, they will make it.  I think that Yates has been decent at QB for Houston, but I think he will check down to Foster a lot in this game, and they will be able to pull out the win.  I have been picking the Bengals all year, but I think they are showing signs of fatigue and the Texans have the running game to beat the Bengals on the road in this game.
Texans (+3)

Saints vs. Titans
The Titans are in the middle of a playoff race for the last spot in the AFC.  They currently sit in a 4 way tie with a 7-5 record, but are in 7th as of now, one spot out of the playoffs.  They sit behind the Bengals, who look a bit tired, and might give some ground here in the final few weeks.  The Titans have an easy schedule going forward, but they need to get this game at home.  Chris Johnson has suddenly found his form of a couple years ago the last couple weeks, and has made the Titans very relevant in playoff talks.  They even have an outside chance at their division if Houston loses some games down the stretch.  They have a real test this week with New Orleans coming in red hot.  They have won four in a row, and are staking their claim on the NFC South.  They are without Ingram this week, but they have Sproles.  Sproles plays a huge role in the backfield when it comes to making catches and will now get a few more carries in the rushing department.  The biggest advantage for the Saints?  Drew Brees.  In his last 3 games, he has put up 322, 363, and 343 yards starting three weeks ago in Atlanta.  He has 9 TDs during that stretch and no interceptions.  He is playing at a very high level and I think they he will be able to go to Tennessee and have another huge game.  I like the Saints because of the Brees factor.
Saints (-4)

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Eagles vs. Dolphins
Dolphins continue to play hard for Sparano, sensing his job is on the line.  The team is clicking and it is hard to pick against them.  They are the favorites in this one, as both teams enter with a 4-8 record.  The Eagles have extra rest this week, after their embarrassing loss to the Seahawks last week, but I think the Dolphins still have the advantage in this game.
Dolphins (-3)

Patriots vs. Redskins
I think this game will be closer than people think.  The Redskins are playing a lot better with Grossman at QB.  Moss is going to have a big game Sunday against the Patriots with Davis not playing while he is suspended.  The Patriots will win the AFC East, and Washington will not make the playoffs, but I do think the Redskins will play hard and put up a good amount of points against New England at home.  The Patriots have been playing great football and are due for a close game every now and then.  Redskins play them tough in this one, and keep it within 9.
Redskins (+9)

Falcons vs. Panthers
Falcons are coming off a loss in Houston, in a game that saw Matt Ryan have a very uncharacteristic game.  He started very slow which allowed them to fall behind and they couldn't recover.  Atlanta now sits in the last playoff spot in the NFC and will need to win these games coming up.  The Giants and Detroit are trying to claim a spot, so they need to keep up with their game.  The Panthers are coming off two straight road wins and Cam Newton is playing at a high level right now.  I think they play this game very close, maybe even can get a win here at home against Atlanta.  I think Newton has the tools to win, he will just need a little bit of help from the bad defense of the Panthers.
Panthers (+3)

Buccaneers vs. Jaguars
This is going to be a rough game to watch. The Bucs are the better team though, they just are not putting up the wins this year.  The Jags came out strong last week on Monday Night Football against the Chargers, but quickly lost the lead and got blown out.  They are not better than the Bucs, and I think the Bucs win this game on the road against Jacksonville.
Bucs (-3)

49ers vs. Cardinals
The Cardinals should have lost last week, but won in overtime against Dallas.  Arizona did play a great game to keep it manageable against Dallas, but I think the 49ers are playing on another level right now.  They are storming through the NFC, and I think they go into Arizona and win this one easily.
49ers (-4)

Raiders vs. Packers
The Packers are playing great and the Raiders are still without McFadden.  Moore and Ford are going to be out another week, so Palmer does not have many weapons once again.  The Packers are coming off the exhilarating win in the Meadowlands against the Giants and now return home to Lambeau in December.  This has all the makeup to be a blowout, even with the Packers being without Starks this week in practice.  The Packers are on their way to a perfect regular season, and this game won't have any hiccup potential for them.  Rodgers picks apart the Raiders in this one, and has another great game.
Packers (-13)

Bills vs. Chargers
The Bills continue to lose, as they have lost 5 straight games and 7 of their last 9.  They are going to San Diego to play a Chargers team that dismantled the Jags last week.  There might be a lot of points scored in this game, but with jobs on the line in San Diego, I think the Chargers finally put some heart into their game and win this one at home.  Rivers and Mathews were way too good on Monday night to think that they won't continue against a bad Bills defense.
Chargers (-7)

Check back for my Monday Night Football pick!

Week 13 Review

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Packers vs. Giants
What a game.  We saw four lead changes in this one, a tied game with 58 seconds left, and a game winning field goal as time expired.  The Giants stuck with the Packers all game, and they started the scoring with a 67 yard TD from Eli to Beckum.  The Packers responded with a 12 yard TD pass to Finley.  After the Giants took a lead on a field goal, Clay Mathews returned a Manning interception for a 38 yard TD to make it 14-10 Green Bay.  The Giants would take the lead back on a 1 yard TD run from Jacobs.  Rodgers would find Driver with 1:10 left in the half to reclaim the lead going into halftime, 21-17.  Rodgers delivered another TD in the third quarter, this time to Greg Jennings to make it 28-17.  Manning responded with a 4 yard pass to Nicks to cut the Packers lead to 28-24.  Tynes would kick a 50 yard field goal to make it 28-27 in the fourth.  Driver found the endzone again with 3:34 left, and Green Bay took a 35-27 lead.  The Giants would then drive 66 yards in just over two and a half minutes to make it a 35-33 game on a 2 yard TD from Manning to Nicks.  Manning was 5 for 8 for 63 yards on the drive.  The Giants converted a two-point conversion on a handoff to Ware to tie it 35-35.  The problem with the great drive by Manning?  He left Aaron Rodgers 58 seconds.  The 58 seconds were more than enough, as Rodgers went 4 for 4 for 68 yards to set up the game winning field goal as time expired.  The dagger was the first play of the drive, a 24 yard pass that seemed to suck the life out of the stadium.  The next three passes combined for 44 yards, to set up the game winning 30 yard field goal, as time expired.  Rodgers finished the game going 28/46, for 369 yards, 4 TDs, and 1 INT.  He also led the team in rushing yards, with 32.  Jennings and Nelson had 94 yards, to go along with Finely's 87.  Eli Manning went 23/40 with 3 TDs and 1 INT.  Jacobs ran for 59 yards and a TD, and Bradshaw had 38 yards.  Victor Cruz once again put on a show, with 7 catches for 119 yards.  Nicks had 88 yards and 2 TDs.  This game was one for the ages, and was eerily similar to the Giants attempt to break up the Patriots perfect season in week 17 of the 2007 season.  They lost by the same score as well. They trailed in the 4th, and fought back to make it a game however.  Whenever Rodgers looked in trouble, he scrambled for yards and averted danger.  It looks like this was the last true test for the Packers in the regular season as they have Oakland at home, Kansas City on the road, followed by Chicago and Detroit at home.  As for the Giants, they prepare for a division matchup against Dallas next week.  They face them twice in the final four weeks, so it is completely possible for them to win the division, as they are only one game back of Dallas.  If the Giants win out, they are guaranteed to make the playoffs because of the games against Dallas.
Giants (+7) Win

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Jets vs. Redskins
The Jets pulled off another win in the final quarter.  They played sloppy all game, but in the fourth quarter when it mattered, they finished off the Skins.  Folk hit a big 51 yard field goal in the third to tie it 13-13.  The Jets were trailing or tied all game until the fourth quarter, when Sanchez connected on a strike to Santonio Holmes for a 30 yard TD to make it 20-16.  After the Jets got to Grossman and sacked him to force a fumble, Greene took the direct snap for a 9 yard touchdown.  The game was all but over at that point.  Greene would add another 25 yard field with under 2 minutes left.  The Jets played a solid fourth quarter, but the rest of the game was a bit painful.  They stuck close though, but in reality, they should have been down a lot more at halftime.  The Jets remain in the hunt now, sitting in 9th place in the AFC.  They will need some losses from the Titans, Raiders, and Bengals for a chance to get in, along with winning almost every game.  If they win out, then they should be able to steal a playoff spot.  They are all tied with a 7-5 record, but they do not hold any tiebreakers at this moment.  For Washington, Grossman had a bad day going 19 for 46 for 221 yards and 1 INT.  Helu was the only one to rush the ball in this game for Washington, gaining 100 yards and a TD.  For the Jets, Sanchez went 19 for 32 with 165 yards and a TD.  His offensive line provided great protection, he was not sacked at all.  Greene had 22 carries for 88 yards and 3 TDs.  The Jets have Kansas City next week at home.  They should beat them easily...I'd like to think.
Jets (-3) Win

Titans vs. Bills
Tennessee jumped out to an early 17-7 lead, that included a 48 yard TD by Chris Johnson.  The story of this game, is that Johnson is back to form, rushing 23 times for 153 yards and 2 TDs.  Fitzpatrick had 288 yards and a TD for the Bills and Spiller ran for 83 yards and a TD.  The Bills were playing from behind the whole game, but couldn't get all the way back.  It seems like a long time ago that that Ralph Wilson Stadium was shaking after the Bills came back to beat the Patriots in week 3.  They have lost 5 in a row and 7 of their last 9.  Tennessee finds themselves in 7th place in the conference, in a 4 way tie at 7-5, but holding the 2nd of the best tiebreakers. 
Titans (+1) Win

Chiefs vs. Bears
A 38 yard hail mary batted down into the hands of McCluster at the end of the first half gave the lead to the Chiefs, and they held on to win 10-3.  The Chiefs are out of the hunt, but the Bears are now 7-5, and have a big problem at quarterback and have lost Forte for an estimated 2-4 weeks.  He suffered a Grade 2 MCL sprain.  The Bears might not make the playoffs after such a tremendous start to the year with Cutler and Forte.  They are going to have to hold off the Giants, Detroit, and Atlanta for the 5th and 6th seed.  They currently are in 5th place in the conference.
Chiefs (+8) Win

Raiders vs. Dolphins
Injuries were in fact too much for the Raiders.  Wish I never changed my pick on this one, I believed too much in Palmer and Bush.  I should of believed in the revived Fins. The Raiders have fallen to 8th place in the conference standings.  They have lost the division to the Tebows for good I believe.  There is no coming back now.  There is something going on in Denver that can not be explained. 
Raiders (+3) Loss

Colts vs. Patriots
Looked like it was going to be a blowout, but the Pats relaxed a little and let the UCONN alum rack up so good yards.  Still a win that everyone expected here however, just not by as many points as I thought.
Patriots (-21) Loss

Bengals vs. Steelers
Pittsburgh erupted in the 2nd quarter for 28 points, and effectively sucked the life out of the Bengals.  Pittsburgh now is tied with Baltimore for the division at 9-3, but as it stands, sit in 5th place in the conference, as they would lose the division by tiebreaker.  The Bengals might just be tiring out in these last two games and we should have expected this after last weeks stinker against the Browns.  They will have to fight to hold onto the last spot in the playoffs with their 7-5 record.
Bengals (+7) Loss

Falcons vs. Texans
Yates was filling in nicely for Houston, as he was 10 for 17 at the half with 154 yards and a TD, but after halftime went 2 for 8 for 34 yards.  He didn't need to do much though, as Foster ran 31 times for 111 yards and a TD, and Tate ran 11 times for 41 yards.  Andre Johnson had a big game with 97 yards, before leaving the game with a left hamstring injury.  This is not the same hamstring he had previously injured.  They believe it is not severe, but he will have an MRI on Monday.  This however was a great win for Houston and a bad loss for Atlanta.  Matt Ryan went 20/46 for 267 yards, 1 TD and 2 INT.  Turner only had 44 yards on the ground.  Tony Gonzalez had another great game, 7 catches for 100 yards, but Roddy White only had 51 yards and a TD.  Julio Jones returned for 64 yards on 4 catches.  It was not enough though, as Houston and Foster proved too much and held off Atlanta to win a big game at home.  Atlanta currently holds the last playoff spot in the NFC at 7-5.

Falcons (-1.5) Loss

Panthers vs. Buccaneers
Cam Newton went insane in this game.  In the passing game he went 12 for 21 for 204 yards and 1 TD.  His rushing game was dominant, rushing 14 times for 54 yards and 3 TDs.  Ridiculous.  Oh, and he caught a pass for 27 yards.  They blew out the hapless Bucs, 38-19, and have now won back to back games, both on the road. 
Panthers (-2) Win

                                                                                                      Broncos vs. Vikings

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TEBOW TIME!  The Broncos are now the leaders of the AFC West after Tim Tebow did it again.  There are no more words to describe what this guy does week in and week out.  He had his best game of the year passing wise, going 10 for 15 for 202 yards.  He made perfect throws, including one of the best scrambles and passes I have seen in a while.  It was a 41 yard TD, where Tebow had to evade numerous defenders, stiff arm another, and when it looked like he was going to take off and run he found Thomas and let him do the rest.  Tebow waited until every defender in the area committed to chasing him, and then let it go.  It was a great play and even though the Broncos still trailed 22-21, you somehow knew he was going to do it again.  Harvin would score on a 48 yard touchdown pass, which was immediately followed by another TD by the Broncos, this time McGahee broke away for a 24 yard TD run followed by a Tebow two-point conversion to tie the game in the fourth, 29-29.  Each team would get a field goal, and with 1:33 left in a tied game, Ponder threw an interception on the first play of the drive, setting up a winning, 23 yard field goal by Prater to win the game for the Broncos.  McGahee finished the game with 20 caries for 111 yards and a TD.  Ponder threw for 381 yards, 3 TDs and 2 INTs and Harvin caught 8 catches for 156 yards and 2 TDs.  At the end of the day though, it was another unbelievable game for Tebow and the Broncos, and I am happy to see that more people are starting to believe.  It is their division to lose now, as Tebow improves to 6-1. 

Broncos (even) Win

Ravens vs. Browns

Ravens won easily in Cleveland, as Ray Rice ran wild: 29 carries for 204 yards and 1 TD.  Ricky Williams got in the mix too with 16 carries for 76 yards and a TD.  Flacco was average again, 10/23 for 158 yards and lost a fumble.  Baltimore improves to 9-3 and has the lead for the AFC North.

Ravens (-7) Won

Rams vs. 49ers

Rams did not start Bradford in this one, therefore they had nothing.  49ers shut them out, 26-0. Steven Jackson was held to only 19 yards rushing.  For the 49ers, Smith threw for 274 yards and 2 TDs.  Gore ran for 73 yards and Crabtree caught 4 passes for 96 yards and a TD.  Solid effort and the 49ers improve to 10-2. 

49ers (-14) Won

Cowboys vs. Cardinals
Dallas led this game 13-6 in the fourth quarter, before giving up a Beanie Wells TD.  The Cowboys had a shot to win the game, but Dallas broke down in the last 30 seconds.  They apprently forgot how to manage the clock in crunch time.  After not calling a timeout and letting the clock tick down for no reason, only to spike the ball, they then rushed the field goal unit out.  They then did call a timeout...on their own kicker, as Bailey's field goal soared through the uprights.  Garrett said that he wanted to give him enough time and not rush the field goal attempt.  Well the next try was short and wide, and the Cowboys would go to overtime and lose on a 52 yard TD pass from Kolb to Stephens-Howling.  Cowboys won this game, but had it taken away by a dumb timeout.  They are now only one game ahead of the Giants and square off next week in Dallas.  This will be the biggest game of the year thus far, so the Cowboys better shake this loss from their memory.  Romo finished with 299 yards and a TD and Bryant caught 8 for 86 yards and a TD.  Murray was held to 38 yards on 12 carries.  In Kolb's return, he had 247 yards and the game winning TD. 
Cowboys (-4.5) Loss

Lions vs. Saints

The Saints improved to 6-0 at home, as they beat the Lions, 31-17.  Brees had another huge game, going 26 for 36 with 342 yards and 3 TDs.  Ingram took the bulk of the carries, 16 for 54 and a TD.  Meachem had a big game with 3 catches for 119 yards and a TD.  Graham continued his great season with 8 catches for 89 yards.  As for Detroit, they lose Kevin Smith again to injury and are starting to slip out of the playoff picture.

They now sit in 7th place, so if the season ended today...they would not make it.  Stafford threw for over 400 yards in this one, but all in a losing effort.  The Lions are reeling and they will need to turn it around quick if they want to get back in the playoff picture. 

Lions (+9) Loss

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Monday Night Football
Chargers vs. Jaguars

The Chargers lit it up from the final 2 minutes of the first half until the end of the game.  In the final two minutes, the Chargers were losing 14-10.  They scored two TDs with under two minutes left in the first half.  They would add a 52 yard TD from Rivers to Floyd in the third and Mathews added a 31 yard TD run in the fourth quarter to finish the game on a 28-0 run.  Rivers finished with 294 yards and 3 TDs.  Mathews carried 13 times for 112 yards and a TD.  Floyd led all receivers with 108 yards and a TD, followed by Jackson with 72 yards and a TD, and Gates with 70 yards.  On the other side of the ball, MJD had 97 yards rushing and 91 yards and a TD receiving.  In the end though, it was San Diego that clicked tonight winning 38-14, and sit at 5-7 on the season. 

Chargers (-3) Win

TNF: Seattle (+3) Won
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This weeks record: 10-6

Week 13 @ The Half

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1 p.m. games

New England started slow, but is starting to get things going in Foxboro, 17-3.  Pittsburgh put up 28 in the second quarter and lead Cincy 28-7.  Tennessee winning 17-10, Chris Johnson another good game already.  KC and Chicago are struggling in this one without QBs.  Forte left with a knee injury as well.  Oakland is being shutout by Miami, 13-0.  Minnesota took a late lead against Tebow and lead 12-7.  Newton putting on a show in Tampa as they lead 21-12.  Jets are playing very sloppy and are lucky to still be close against Washington, trailing 13-10.  Atlanta got behind early against Houston, but managed to get a field goal in this one.  Yates is impressing at QB for Houston, 10 for 17 with 154 yards and a TD.

                                                                                                         4 p.m. games

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The Giants trail 21-17 as they lost the lead with just over a minute left in the half.  They went on to turn the ball over as the offense was not aware of a live ball that came out of Manning's hands.  The Packers recovered and gained a few yards but Crosby missed a field goal to end the half, his second miss of the year.  Starks has left the game with an ankle injury.  In Arizona, Laurent Robinson has left the game with a shoulder injury.  Robinson had 41 yards before exiting. Felix Jones has 25 yards, and Murray has 23 on the ground.  Romo is 10 for 18 with 130 yards and a TD.  Dez Bryant has 3 catches for 40 yards and a TD.  Giants and Packers have a back and forth game going in New York.  In Cleveland, Baltimore leads 10-0 at halftime as Rice is having a great first half, 107 yards and a TD.  Williams is also having a good rushing game for Baltimore with 43 yards.  Flacco is 7/14 with 102 yards.  In San Francisco, the 49ers have a 9-0 lead.  Smith is 13 for 18 with 128 yards and Gore has 46 yards on the ground.  St. Louis is without Bradford and can not get much going, Feeley has only 68 yards passing and Jackson only has 9 yards rushing.

Monday Night Football

Rivers and the Chargers started to turn it around at the end of the half, looking to avoid their seventh straight loss.  After San Diego took a 10-0 lead in the first, the Jags stormed back for 2 TDs in the second to take a 14-10 lead.  But the Chargers were able to regain the lead at the half, 24-14, on a couple Rivers TD passes with under two minutes left.  Rivers finished the half 16 for 21 with 202 yards and 2 TDs, and Mathews had 56 yards on 6 carries.  Tolbert added 21 yards and a TD.  Jackson has 72 yards and a TD receiving.  For Jacksonville, Gabbert is 11 for 15 with 139 yards and 2 TDs ad an INT.  MJD has 50 yards rushing and receiving has 87 yards and a TD.

Week 13 Preview and Picks

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Week 13

Jets vs. Redskins
The Jets escaped again last week at home vs. Buffalo.  Now they travel to Washington, who has had a momentum boost with Grossman taking over at QB again.  Washington matches up really well against the Jets, because the Jets weakest link right now is their offensive line.  Sanchez has been getting hit far too much and therefore throwing more interceptions.  Besides that, Hall of the Redskins has spoken about Sanchez and his tendency to stare down the receiver he is going to right after the snap.  Teams are recognizing this, and this has also been resulting in more interceptions and pick sixes.  He needs to break this trend. He is giving the other teams a heads up as to who he is throwing to and very seldom does he go to his second or third options.  He needs to do this, and this week they are getting LT back, so he will be able to at least check down to LT if his first option is not there.  Sanchez is key to the Jets success.  In Jets wins this year, he has 13 TDs and 6 INTs.  In their losses, he has 5 TDs and 5 INTs.  He will need to take what his offensive line gives him, hopefully they step up, and he can buy some time to make big plays.  The Jets need this game if they want to stay in the playoff hunt.
Jets (-3) Win

Colts vs. Patriots
In 1992, the Buffalo Bills covered a 20 point spread twice.  That was the last time a team covered a 20+ spread.  The Colts are starting UCONN alum, Dan Orlovsky, and I just don't think they will be able to hang close, plus the Patriots love to keep scoring even when the game is out of reach.
Patriots (-21) Loss

Titans vs. Bills

Bills are reeling, even after almost pulling off a victory at the Meadowlands.  Stevie Johnson was fined for his endzone celebration and this guy lets things get to him.  I think he might not have a very productive day, and without him it is hard for the Bills to get the big plays.  Tennessee has a solid defense and maybe Chris Johnson has finally found his rhythm on offense.  If he did, he can have another huge game against a bad Bills defense.  I look for this game to be very close, but I think that Tennessee is playing with more confidence at this point in the season.

Titans (+1) Win

Chiefs vs. Bears
This is the matchup of injured QBs.  The Chiefs are going with Palko as their starter.  They have Orton on the bench who would be an immediate upgrade, but they are sticking with Palko.  The Bears are sending out Hanie again.  Last week they kept it close in Oakland.  They need to stick to the running game and not take away carries from Forte.  If Forte has another week sharing carries with Barber, then I expect him to start shutting it down and making a statement that he does not deserve to split carries.  I am taking Kansas City with the points, but I think Chicago will win if Forte doesn't have to share again.
Chiefs (+8) Win

Raiders vs. Dolphins
Raiders are traveling across the country, and Miami is well rested after their Thanksgiving nail biter.  Oakland has been playing good football as of late with Carson Palmer getting a grasp on the playbook.  McFadden will still be out, but Bush continues to carry the load well.  With Tebow coming up strong, Oakland has to keep their foot on the gas and not let the Broncos tie the division, but Moore and Ford are not going to be starting again, limiting what Palmer can do. I think it will be close, but I do not know if Oakland can win again without three starters on offense.  I think it will be close either way.  Heyward-Bey needs to have a more productive day than last week if they want to beat a hot Miami team on the road.  I like the Raiders getting 3 points in this one, even though they might lose by a point or two.
Raiders (+3) Loss

Bengals vs. Steelers
Here we go again, another test for the Bengals.  After keeping things close against the Steelers and Ravens in consecutive weeks, they put up a stinker against the Browns at home last week but still won.  They were lucky to win that game and now have to travel to Pittsburgh to face the Steelers again.  The Steelers almost let one slip away against the Chiefs last week in an ugly game.  I expect a playoff type battle in this one.  After the close games both these teams played last week, I expect another close one between these two teams.
Bengals (+7) Loss

Falcons vs. Texans
Falcons have been playing well, and White has been a reason for it.  In the last two weeks, he has put up numbers that we have come to expect in past seasons.  Two weeks ago, he had 7 catches for 147 yards.  Last week he caught 10 passes for 120 yards and a TD.  With this kind of production, the Falcons are a very dangerous team.  The Texans will be starting Yates again, so they will rely heavily on Foster and Tate and Atlanta will be able to stack the box.  I like Atlanta in this one.
Falcons (-1.5) Win
 
Panthers vs. Buccaneers
Both these teams are out of the playoff hunt.  The Bucs have lost 5 in a row and Freeman is not starting because of a shoulder injury.  Cam Newton on the other hand, is having a stellar season, but the rest of his team is not that good.  I would look for a huge game from Newton and Smith.  Carolina is ranked 6th in road passing, and 4th in road rushing.  This is up against Tampa's 29th home passing defense and 17th home rushing defense ranks.  I like Carolina to win this game.
Panthers (-2) Win

Broncos vs. Vikings
I believe in Tebow.  After last weeks comeback and overtime win, I can not do anything but believe in the Broncos and what Tebow has done for this team.  Earlier this week he was asked by head coach John Fox to give a speech to the team, and the team responded well.  This kid is getting it done and I will take him until he gives me a reason not to.
Broncos (even) Win

Packers vs. Giants
Giants look awful right now, but they need to put up a good game here to end all of the negative talk.  I think they keep it relatively close here.  With Bradshaw coming back, it might ignite the running game.  Eli continues to pile up yards as Cruz keeps putting up monster numbers.  Don't forget about Nicks on the other side of the hash marks.  The Giants have the weapons to keep it close, but do they have the heart?  The Packers are...well...the Packers.  They will probably put up 35 points in this one, it is just a matter of Eli keeping up.  They are the best team in the league, and if they are clicking on defense, then the Giants will get blown away.  But in a huge game before playing Dallas, I think the Giants put up a fight and build some momentum for next week. 
Giants (+7) Win

Ravens vs. Browns
Browns have Hillis back at running back, but I think the Ravens are a better team, but not as good as they believe they are.  But, if they are serious contenders in the AFC, then there is no reason they do not beat the Browns by more than a TD.
Ravens (-7) Win

Rams vs. 49ers
The Rams are not a good team this season and the 49ers are 7-0-1 against the spread in their last 8.  Got to keep it going this week.
49ers (-14) Win

Cowboys vs. Cardinals
I think the Cowboys blow the Cardinals away in this one.  They are without Austin again, but Laurent Robinson has stepped in and put up huge numbers.  He has scored at least one TD in five straight games, and in those five games, he has a total of 7 TDs.  There is no reason to expect anything different this week.  Murray is still running with the top backs in the league and Romo is in the zone lately.  Dallas wins this game easily.
Cowboys (-4.5) Loss

Lions vs. Saints
The Saints are starting to destroy teams again at home.  This game worries me if I am Detroit.  After all the publicity with the Suh stomping incident and now a car crash, it is going to be interesting to see how they respond.  Stafford has been turning the ball over like crazy since week 8, when he fractured his index finger.  He has thrown 9 interceptions in 3 weeks.  If he continues this, then look for another bad loss for Detroit.  New Orleans has been utilizing Jimmy Graham perfectly.  He had 5 catches for 84 yards and 2 TDs.  He is unstoppable, and Brees is even better.  He had a historic game last week and is on fire, but I think Stafford finds Calvin Johnson in this game and they have a big day, good enough to keep it close.
Lions (+9) Loss

Monday Night Football

Chargers vs. Jaguars
I don't see any way that the Chargers don't win this game.  Yes they have lost six in a row, but they have a lot more skill than the Jags, so it will be hard to understand if they lose this one.  They need to pull off a win here to not be completely embarrassed.  The Jaguars are bad and if the Chargers don't show up tonight, then they probably won't show up for the rest of their games.  Rivers needs to prove he has some fight in him.  I am going to think that the Chargers will show minimal effort, and that should be enough to win.
Chargers (-3) Win

TNF: Seattle (+3) Won

Check my post for thoughts on this weeks games here...
http://nargonsports.blogspot.com/2011/12/week-13-review.html