Week 16 Review

Game of the Week

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Giants vs. Jets
More on this game later in the week, but key things:  Giants and Dallas winner next week wins the division and Jets sit in 9th now in the AFC standings.  The need a lot of help with one week left.  A fumble to a safety, and a pass interference on Plaxico decided this game. 
Jets (-3) Loss

Dolphins vs. Patriots
Pats rally and come all the way back.  Clinch a first round bye.
Dolphins (+10) Win

Browns vs. Ravens
Baltimore held on to win and fight for a first round bye and the division.
Browns (+13) Win

Vikings vs. Redskins 
Vikings surprise the Redskins for their third win in this one.
Redskins (-6.5) Loss

Raiders vs. Chiefs
Chiefs should have won this, but went to OT and lost.  Now the Raiders have a chance to lose the division, but still make the playoffs next week if things play out correctly. 
Chiefs (-2) Loss

Bucs vs. Panthers
Cam Newton sets the all time pass record in this one and adds a 49 yard TD run.  He is turning this team around and they have a bright future.
Panthers (-7.5) Win

Rams vs. Steelers
Steelers are trying to keep up with the Ravens for the division and a first round bye in the AFC.   
Rams (+13) Loss

Eagles vs. Cowboys
Cowboys had nothing to play for, but the Eagles played with a lot of heart and handled them.  Comes down to next week in New Jersey for the Cowboys.
Eagles (+3) Win

Chargers vs. Lions 
Lions clinch a playoff birth for the first time in 13 years and take care of Rivers.
Lions (-1.5) Win

49ers vs. Seahawks
49ers come back late and win on a field goal in Seattle.
Seahawks (+2) Push

Broncos vs. Bills
Blowout here, Bills defense steps up as Tebow doesn't protect the ball.  Denver still control their own fate next week.  A win against KC, and they're in.  
Broncos (-3) Loss

Jaguars vs. Titans
Titans win at home to help their playoff hopes.  Currently in 8th place in the AFC.  Don't cover though.
Titans (-7.5) Loss

Cardinals vs. Bengals 
Cardinals don't complete the comeback, and lose to the Bengals.  Bengals now claim the 6th spot as of now and are in the playoffs.
Cardinals (+6) Push


Bears vs. Packers
The Packers dominated again and clinch home field advantage throughout the playoffs.
Packers (-12) Win

MNF
Falcons vs. Saints
Brees- the new all time single season passing leader.  Saints dominate and win 45-16.

TNF -  http://nargonsports.blogspot.com/2011/12/thursday-night-football-week-16_21.html

Happy Holidays!!!

Week 15 @ the Half

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Surprises all around the NFL.  The unbeaten Packers are losing to the Chiefs 6-0.  We know they have a good defense, but really?  Packers need to pick it up here.  The Giants are behind 17-3 against the Redskins, even with a couple Grossman picks.  Carolina and Cam are beating up the Texans, lets see if they can hold onto the big halftime lead this week.  The rest of the games right now are real close.  Cincy trails the Rams 6-3 at halftime.  New Orleans is beating the Vikings 21-13 as they scored a TD with under 2 minutes left in the half.  Miami is beating the reeling Bills.  Chicago scored a late TD to take the lead on Seattle.  The Titans are barely beating the Colts at the half.

Week 14 Review

 Game of the Week

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          Giants vs. Cowboys
The Giants (7-6) entered this game looking to take first place in the NFC East from the Cowboys (7-6) and take control of the rest of their season.  They began the game strong, sacking Romo for a safety and then added a 23 yard field goal on their next possession.  The Cowboys responded with a TD pass from Romo to Phillips to put Dallas on top 7-5 at the end of the first.  Jacobs ran for a 1 yard TD (and then did a little jig on the star in the endzone) to give New York a 12-7 lead.   Romo again responded with a 9 yard TD to his favorite scoring machine, Laurent Robinson, to give them a 14-12 lead.  The giants would make a field goal, giving them a 15-14 lead.  A field goal with 20 seconds left for Dallas gave them a 17-15 lead at halftime.  After another field goal by Bailey for Dallas, the Giants would take the 22-20 lead on a long 47 yard TD pass from Manning to Manningham in the third quarter.  Romo connected with Robinson for 74 yards and then hit Austin for a 6 yard TD, to take the 27-22 lead in the fourth.  Eli and the Giants would drive again midway through the fourth.  They converted on a 4th and 3 on the Cowboys 37, before Sean Lee intercepted a ball in traffic and off of  a Giants player.  Dallas would beat the Giants coverage and score a huge TD on a pass to Bryant to give Dallas a 34-22 lead.  With over five minutes left, the Giants drove 80 yards in 2:27, as Eli connected on several big pass plays, and ended the drive in the endzone on an 8 yard pass to Ballard with 3:14 remaining, and now trailing 34-29.  The Cowboys went three and out, giving the Giants a chance to win the game.  Manning drove the Giants down field again.  After Manningham dropped a perfect pass that would have given the Giants the lead, Manning composed himself, and continued to drive down field.  The Giants scored a TD with 46 seconds remaining to take the 35-34 lead.  They executed a 2-point conversion to make it a 37-34 game.  Romo connected across the middle to Austin, and then spiked the ball to set up a 47 yard field goal attempt by Bailey.  The kick sailed up and was good, but the Giants called a timeout prior to the snap.  Bailey had to reset himself and do it all over again.  Pierre-Paul would get through the line, and block the following field goal attempt.  The Giants won the game on a blocked field goal and an amazing comeback by Manning.  Manning had 400 yards with 2 TDs and an interception.  Jacobs ran for 101 yards as Bradshaw was benched for the first half.  Nicks had 154 yards on 7 catches.  For Dallas, Romo had 321 yards and 4 TDs.  Felix Jones replaced Murray, and had 16 carries for 106 yards.  Murray left this game with a fractured right ankle, putting the rushing duties in the hand of Felix Jones once again.  This is a huge loss for the Cowboys if Murray is indeed done for the rest of the season.  He was running over teams but now will be sidelined, we will have to see for how long.  Robinson continues to put up insane numbers, catching 4 passes for 137 yards and a TD.  Dallas now need to fight to make the playoffs, as they are in 8th in the NFC.  They will have an uphill battle in the following three weeks.  

Giants (+3) Win

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Bears vs. Broncos

What can be said about this game.  The game was scoreless at halftime, and the Broncos trailed 10-0 with just over four minutes left in regulation.  Tebow drove down field in 2:26, completing 7 of 7 passes for 63 yards, including a 10 yard TD to Thomas to make it a 10-7 game.  They then tried an onside kick that failed.  The Bears took over with 2:08 left, running a play to go to the 2 minute warning.  Out of the warning, Barber took the ball, and ran out of bounds inexplicably.  This allowed the clock to stop for the Broncos.  They had a chance if they could stop the Bears on the next play, a 3rd and 5.  Barber only got one yard, forcing a punt to the Denver 11 yard line.  Denver had 53 seconds to tie the game.  Tebow would manage the game perfectly with those 53 seconds.  He hit Decker for a 9 yard gain, and Decker got out of bounds.  From the 29, Tebow passed to Ball for 11 yards to get to their own 40, where Tebow spiked the ball.  He completed a pass to Willis for 19 yards, where he ran out of bounds.  Tebow missed his receivers on the next 2 passes, and on the following play, scrambled out of bounds for no gain at the Chicago 41 yard line.  This set up an improbable 59 yard field goal attempt by Matt Prater...no chance right?  Wrong.  Prater hit it, to send the game to OT.  Chicago started the overtime with the ball and drove down field.  They were in field goal range, when another crazy play happened for Tebow and the Broncos...Barber fumbled the ball and Denver recovered.  Tebow time again.  He threw an incompletion  followed by a 2 yard pass to McGahee.  On a 3rd and 8, Tebow passed to Thomas for 10 yards and a first down.  Tebow was sacked, and then completed a 16 yard pass to Thomas again, down to the Chicago 40.  After a 1 yard McGahee run, Tebow ran for 5 yards, and then ran for another 1 yard.  This set up a 4th and 3, and a 51 yard field goal attempt to win the game.  Prater would line up, take the kick, and complete another amazing comeback for the Broncos, who are now 8-5.  Tebow will get it done.  He will motivate his teammates and impossible will happen.  He finished going 21 for 40 for 236 yards, a TD, and an INT.  He added 12 carries for 49 yards.  He has led the Broncos to three OT wins this season, and 6 wins in a row.  He is 7-1 as a starter this season.  Tebow is captivating the nation with what he is doing, and whether you love him or hate him, it is amazing to watch.

Broncos (-3.5) Loss

Vikings vs. Lions
This was a very close game.  Surprisingly, the Vikings started to get back in the game after Ponder was removed.  Ponder had turned the ball over three times, and was battling an injury coming into the game.  The Lions scored 31 points before halftime, and held a 31-14 lead at the break.  The Vikings added a TD in the third and fourth quarter, as the Lions would only add a field goal in the fourth.  The Vikings had a chance at the end of the game.  They were faced with a 4th and 6 on Detroit's 12 yard line.  They picked up 10 yards to get down to the 2, where they took a timeout with 9 seconds left.  Webb, who replaced Ponder, was sacked all the way back at the 11, and then fumbled to end the game.  The Lions held on to this one, but it was not easy.  They hold the last spot in the NFC playoff picture as of now.
Lions (-10) Loss

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             Chiefs vs. Jets
The New York Jets are in control of their own fate.  They currently sit in the final playoff spot in the AFC.  If they win out, they will make the playoffs.  They have to play the Eagles next week in Philadelphia, the Giants at the Meadowlands on Christmas eve, and the Dolphins to end the season.  Today, the Jets did what they were supposed to in this game...dominate a bad team.  They destroyed Palko in this game, sacking him five times.  They Jets performed a perfect bootleg for Sanchez to score the first TD of the game.  He then connected to Holmes for a 4 yard TD.  Greene ran all over the Chiefs, and would score the next TD, making it 21-3.  LT made brilliant moves on a pass from Sanchez to weave past defenders, and score on a 19 yard TD.  They led 28-3 at the half. Sanchez rushed for another TD in the 3rd capping off a great game where he went 13/21 for 181 yards and 2 TDs.  He also ran for 2 TDs.  Greene led the team in rushing and receiving, carrying 24 times for 129 yards and a TD, and adding 3 catches for 58 yards.  He is key to the Jets success should they make the playoffs.  Similar to last year, the Jets lose Jim Leonhard in this one, probably for the season.  If they just keep winning, they will attempt another improbable run in the playoffs.  
Jets (-11) Win

Colts vs. Ravens 
The Ravens did what they were supposed to against a winless team this week.  The Ravens won this one by two TDs.  They took a 17-0 lead, and gave up a TD as time expired to make the final score 24-10.  The Ravens remain in the lead of the AFC North, and currently are in second place in the AFC playoff picture, trailing only Houston.  
Colts (+17) Win

Saints vs. Titans
The Saints hung onto a 22-17 lead as time expired in this one.  The Titans received the ball back with 1:34 left, and Locker, who replaced Hasselbeck who left with a strained left calf, completed a 40 yard pass to Nate Washington who pinballed off defenders to the 5 yard line.  Locker had a slant to Mariani defended perfectly by Porter, who swatted it down to protect the lead.  Locker would have one more try, but he could not find anyone open, and ended up getting sacked to end the game.  The Saints needed a road win and got it here.  Brees had another great day, going 36 for 47, for 337 yards and 2 TDs.  Ivory stepped in with Ingram out, with 13 carries for 53 yards.  Colston had 7 catches for 105 yards and a TD.  Locker replaced Hasselbeck going 13 for 29 for 282 yards and a TD.  The Titans (7-6) with this loss, fell to 7th place in the AFC, and are now behind the Jets for the final playoff spot.
Saints (-4) Win

                                                          Texans vs. Bengals

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This game came down to the final seconds.  This was a key matchup to the AFC playoff picture, with the Bengals trying to hold on to their playoff spot.  The Texans were trailing 16-3 at halftime, and 19-10 with under six minutes left in the game.  They hit a field goal, and then get the ball back after the Bengals couldn't do anything.  They took the ball over with 2:33 left and 80 yards to go.  T.J Yates drove down field, accounting for all 80 yards and throwing a 6 yard TD to Kevin Walter with 2 seconds left in the game to give Houston a 20-19 win.  This opens things up in the AFC for the playoffs.  Houston clinched the division with the win and the Titans loss.  The Bengals now sit in 8th place, two spots out of the playoffs.  It might be their year next season, but it looks like this young team is just tired out now at this point of the season.  
Texans (+3) Win



Eagles vs. Dolphins
The Eagles dominated against the Dolphins today, after the Fins took a quick 7-0 lead.  Philly went on to score 24 unanswered points, and won 26-10.  Vick returned in this game for 208 yards, 1 TD and 1 pick.  The Eagles now hope to play spoiler to the Jets next week when they return home.  

Dolphins (-3) Loss

Patriots vs. Redskins
This game was as I predicted, close from beginning to end, and high scoring.  Brady threw for 357 yards, 3 TDs and 1 INT.  The interception came in the endzone, and almost allowed for the Redskins to tie the game.  Grossman would drive down the field with 6:30 left and trailing by a TD.  They got to the New England 5, when Grossman threw what looked like a game tying TD, but ended up being offensive pass interference on Moss.  The Redskins came up short on the next two plays, and would lose the game when Grossman's pass was tipped off of Moss's fingers, and landed in the hands of Mayo.  The Redskins played them close and had the lead at two points in the game.  They had the game tied at 27 in the fourth as well.  The Redskins played tough, but in the end, Brady and the Patriots succeeded again.  Gronkowski broke the tight end record for TDs in a season, as he had a ridiculous game, reeling in 6 catches for 160 yards and 2 TDs.  New England (10-3) are in 3rd place overall in the AFC.  
Redskins (+9) Win

Falcons vs. Panthers
You wouldn't know it by the final score, but Atlanta was trailing 23-7 at halftime.  The Falcons must have felt themselves slipping out of the playoffs, because they played with a bit of desperation in the second half.  They cut into the lead with a field goal, and then Matt Ryan hit Jacquizz Rodgers for a 31 yard TD.  That sparked the offense, as they were only trailing 23-17.  Julio Jones had been very quiet, until Matt Ryan started finding him in the fourth.  He caught a 17 yard TD pass a couple minutes into the fourth, which gave Atlanta a 24-23 lead.  Ryan connected again with Jones, this time for a 75 yard TD to make it a 31-23 game.  With just over four minutes remaining, Cam Newton connected with Steve Smith for a 48 yard pass, to give the Panthers a chance.  Cam couldn't connect on the next four passes, and the Panthers came up short in this one.  Matt Ryan had a huge game, with 320 yards and 4 TDs.  Jones had 3 catches for 104 yards and 2 TDs and White had 7 catches for 84 yards and a TD.  Gonzalez once again impressed, with 7 catches for 82 yards.  Newton had 276 yards, 2 TDs, and 2 INTs.  He added 36 yards rushing.  Steve Smith continued to impress with 125 more yards.  The Panthers fall to 4-9, and the Falcons are now 8-5.  Atlanta stays in the final 6 for the playoffs in the NFC with this win.  
Panthers (+3) Loss

Buccaneers vs. Jaguars
Tampa Bay was leading 14-0, before the Jags came back for 42 unanswered points.  Both these teams are well out of the playoff hunt, but the Jags still impressed with their play in this game.  The highlight of this game was MJD, scoring 4 TDs, 2 passing and 2 receiving.
Bucs (-3) Loss

49ers vs. Cardinals
The 49ers went into Arizona and fell victim to the Cardinals home field advantage.  Arizona is 6-7 overall, but are 4-2 at home.  Kolb left the game with a head injury and Skelton did a good job filling in for him.  Skelton had 282 yards, 3 TDs and 2 INTs.  San Fran had a 6-0 lead, before Skelton connected with Doucet on a 60 yard TD.  Akers added two more field goals for the 49ers before the half, to give the 49ers a 12-7 lead at halftime.  Gore broke out for a 37 yard run to make it 19-7 in the third.  Arizona would strike back with a 46 yard TD pass from Skelton to Fitzgerald to bring them within 5.  In the fourth, Skelton connected with Roberts for a 3 yard TD, to give the Cardinals a 21-19 lead, the score by which they won it.  The 49ers stumbled on the road here and gave away the lead, but they have clinched the division already and currently sit in second place in the NFC playoff picture, with a 10-3 record.  
49ers (-4) Loss

Raiders vs. Packers
There is really not much to say here, except the Packers are on their way to a perfect regular season.  They dismantled the Raiders, scoring 34 points before the Raiders were able to put up any points.  Ryan Grant started the scoring with a 47 yard TD run, and would finish with 85 yards and 2 TDs.  Rodgers had 281 yards, 2 TDs, and a pick.  The Packers lost Greg Jennings with a possible torn MCL.  The Packers are playing on an unbelievable level right now that no team can match.  For the Raiders, Palmer had 4 interceptions, and with all their injuries, seem to be falling out of the playoff picture fast.  They sit in 9th place in the AFC, with a 7-6 record.  
Packers (-13) Win

Bills vs. Chargers
The Chargers dominated this game, leading 16-0 at halftime, and winning 37-10.  Rivers was 24 for 33 with 240 yards and 3 TDs.  Ryan Mathews continued to run wild, with 114 yards on 20 carries.  The Chargers now sit at 6-7, and the Bills are at 5-8, losers of six straight.  Both these teams are pretty much out of the playoff hunt.
Chargers (-7) Win

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Monday Night Football
Rams vs. Seahawks
This one has no playoff implications for either team, but the Seahwaks will believe if they win out and have a lot of help, then maybe they have a chance.  I don't see it though. The Seahwaks this season, are a better team, especially at home.  They are going to win this game and depending on if Bradford plays, will determine how much they will win by.  If Bradford doesn't play I think it will be a big win for Seattle, but if Bradford plays, I can see St. Louis sticking around. Steven Jackson has been doing nothing for the Rams since week 11, so he doesn't look like he will be a factor.  He had three huge games prior to week 11, so maybe he has hit a wall.  As for Seattle, Lynch is coming off his best game of the season, piling up 148 yards rushing and 2 TDs against the Eagles.  Seattle also has extra rest, so I am taking Seattle to cover in this one.  They are the better team.

Update: The Seahawks dominated in this game, winning 30-13.  They continue to keep their slim playoff hopes alive, now sitting at 6-7.  The will need to win out if they want to stay in contention.  Lynch continues to put up crazy numbers, this week piling up 115 yards and a TD.  The Rams continue to struggle, and Bradford is having a season he wishes he could forget. 
Seahawks (-10) Win

TNF- Browns (+14.5) Win   http://nargonsports.blogspot.com/2011/12/thursday-night-football-week-14.html

Week 14 Record: 10-6
Season Record: 31-30-1

Week 13 Preview and Picks

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Week 13

Jets vs. Redskins
The Jets escaped again last week at home vs. Buffalo.  Now they travel to Washington, who has had a momentum boost with Grossman taking over at QB again.  Washington matches up really well against the Jets, because the Jets weakest link right now is their offensive line.  Sanchez has been getting hit far too much and therefore throwing more interceptions.  Besides that, Hall of the Redskins has spoken about Sanchez and his tendency to stare down the receiver he is going to right after the snap.  Teams are recognizing this, and this has also been resulting in more interceptions and pick sixes.  He needs to break this trend. He is giving the other teams a heads up as to who he is throwing to and very seldom does he go to his second or third options.  He needs to do this, and this week they are getting LT back, so he will be able to at least check down to LT if his first option is not there.  Sanchez is key to the Jets success.  In Jets wins this year, he has 13 TDs and 6 INTs.  In their losses, he has 5 TDs and 5 INTs.  He will need to take what his offensive line gives him, hopefully they step up, and he can buy some time to make big plays.  The Jets need this game if they want to stay in the playoff hunt.
Jets (-3) Win

Colts vs. Patriots
In 1992, the Buffalo Bills covered a 20 point spread twice.  That was the last time a team covered a 20+ spread.  The Colts are starting UCONN alum, Dan Orlovsky, and I just don't think they will be able to hang close, plus the Patriots love to keep scoring even when the game is out of reach.
Patriots (-21) Loss

Titans vs. Bills

Bills are reeling, even after almost pulling off a victory at the Meadowlands.  Stevie Johnson was fined for his endzone celebration and this guy lets things get to him.  I think he might not have a very productive day, and without him it is hard for the Bills to get the big plays.  Tennessee has a solid defense and maybe Chris Johnson has finally found his rhythm on offense.  If he did, he can have another huge game against a bad Bills defense.  I look for this game to be very close, but I think that Tennessee is playing with more confidence at this point in the season.

Titans (+1) Win

Chiefs vs. Bears
This is the matchup of injured QBs.  The Chiefs are going with Palko as their starter.  They have Orton on the bench who would be an immediate upgrade, but they are sticking with Palko.  The Bears are sending out Hanie again.  Last week they kept it close in Oakland.  They need to stick to the running game and not take away carries from Forte.  If Forte has another week sharing carries with Barber, then I expect him to start shutting it down and making a statement that he does not deserve to split carries.  I am taking Kansas City with the points, but I think Chicago will win if Forte doesn't have to share again.
Chiefs (+8) Win

Raiders vs. Dolphins
Raiders are traveling across the country, and Miami is well rested after their Thanksgiving nail biter.  Oakland has been playing good football as of late with Carson Palmer getting a grasp on the playbook.  McFadden will still be out, but Bush continues to carry the load well.  With Tebow coming up strong, Oakland has to keep their foot on the gas and not let the Broncos tie the division, but Moore and Ford are not going to be starting again, limiting what Palmer can do. I think it will be close, but I do not know if Oakland can win again without three starters on offense.  I think it will be close either way.  Heyward-Bey needs to have a more productive day than last week if they want to beat a hot Miami team on the road.  I like the Raiders getting 3 points in this one, even though they might lose by a point or two.
Raiders (+3) Loss

Bengals vs. Steelers
Here we go again, another test for the Bengals.  After keeping things close against the Steelers and Ravens in consecutive weeks, they put up a stinker against the Browns at home last week but still won.  They were lucky to win that game and now have to travel to Pittsburgh to face the Steelers again.  The Steelers almost let one slip away against the Chiefs last week in an ugly game.  I expect a playoff type battle in this one.  After the close games both these teams played last week, I expect another close one between these two teams.
Bengals (+7) Loss

Falcons vs. Texans
Falcons have been playing well, and White has been a reason for it.  In the last two weeks, he has put up numbers that we have come to expect in past seasons.  Two weeks ago, he had 7 catches for 147 yards.  Last week he caught 10 passes for 120 yards and a TD.  With this kind of production, the Falcons are a very dangerous team.  The Texans will be starting Yates again, so they will rely heavily on Foster and Tate and Atlanta will be able to stack the box.  I like Atlanta in this one.
Falcons (-1.5) Win
 
Panthers vs. Buccaneers
Both these teams are out of the playoff hunt.  The Bucs have lost 5 in a row and Freeman is not starting because of a shoulder injury.  Cam Newton on the other hand, is having a stellar season, but the rest of his team is not that good.  I would look for a huge game from Newton and Smith.  Carolina is ranked 6th in road passing, and 4th in road rushing.  This is up against Tampa's 29th home passing defense and 17th home rushing defense ranks.  I like Carolina to win this game.
Panthers (-2) Win

Broncos vs. Vikings
I believe in Tebow.  After last weeks comeback and overtime win, I can not do anything but believe in the Broncos and what Tebow has done for this team.  Earlier this week he was asked by head coach John Fox to give a speech to the team, and the team responded well.  This kid is getting it done and I will take him until he gives me a reason not to.
Broncos (even) Win

Packers vs. Giants
Giants look awful right now, but they need to put up a good game here to end all of the negative talk.  I think they keep it relatively close here.  With Bradshaw coming back, it might ignite the running game.  Eli continues to pile up yards as Cruz keeps putting up monster numbers.  Don't forget about Nicks on the other side of the hash marks.  The Giants have the weapons to keep it close, but do they have the heart?  The Packers are...well...the Packers.  They will probably put up 35 points in this one, it is just a matter of Eli keeping up.  They are the best team in the league, and if they are clicking on defense, then the Giants will get blown away.  But in a huge game before playing Dallas, I think the Giants put up a fight and build some momentum for next week. 
Giants (+7) Win

Ravens vs. Browns
Browns have Hillis back at running back, but I think the Ravens are a better team, but not as good as they believe they are.  But, if they are serious contenders in the AFC, then there is no reason they do not beat the Browns by more than a TD.
Ravens (-7) Win

Rams vs. 49ers
The Rams are not a good team this season and the 49ers are 7-0-1 against the spread in their last 8.  Got to keep it going this week.
49ers (-14) Win

Cowboys vs. Cardinals
I think the Cowboys blow the Cardinals away in this one.  They are without Austin again, but Laurent Robinson has stepped in and put up huge numbers.  He has scored at least one TD in five straight games, and in those five games, he has a total of 7 TDs.  There is no reason to expect anything different this week.  Murray is still running with the top backs in the league and Romo is in the zone lately.  Dallas wins this game easily.
Cowboys (-4.5) Loss

Lions vs. Saints
The Saints are starting to destroy teams again at home.  This game worries me if I am Detroit.  After all the publicity with the Suh stomping incident and now a car crash, it is going to be interesting to see how they respond.  Stafford has been turning the ball over like crazy since week 8, when he fractured his index finger.  He has thrown 9 interceptions in 3 weeks.  If he continues this, then look for another bad loss for Detroit.  New Orleans has been utilizing Jimmy Graham perfectly.  He had 5 catches for 84 yards and 2 TDs.  He is unstoppable, and Brees is even better.  He had a historic game last week and is on fire, but I think Stafford finds Calvin Johnson in this game and they have a big day, good enough to keep it close.
Lions (+9) Loss

Monday Night Football

Chargers vs. Jaguars
I don't see any way that the Chargers don't win this game.  Yes they have lost six in a row, but they have a lot more skill than the Jags, so it will be hard to understand if they lose this one.  They need to pull off a win here to not be completely embarrassed.  The Jaguars are bad and if the Chargers don't show up tonight, then they probably won't show up for the rest of their games.  Rivers needs to prove he has some fight in him.  I am going to think that the Chargers will show minimal effort, and that should be enough to win.
Chargers (-3) Win

TNF: Seattle (+3) Won

Check my post for thoughts on this weeks games here...
http://nargonsports.blogspot.com/2011/12/week-13-review.html

The Rest of Week 12 Picks

http://i245.photobucket.com/albums/gg63/stewie56eht/sanchez.jpg

Week 12

Vikings vs. Falcons
Vikes playing in Atlanta, where Atlanta never loses.  They are without Adrian Peterson, and without him, they won’t have a chance here.  I think winning by 10 is not too much to ask here.
Falcons (-9.5) Win

Browns at Bengals
The Bengals return home after coming a TD short against Pittsburgh and in Baltimore.  Browns barely hung on again Jacksonville at home last week.  I expect the Bengals to deal with the browns easily in this game.
Bengals (-7) Loss

Bucs vs. Titans
Titans are giving 3 in this one, and I think if the Bucs recover from their loss last week at the Packers, then I think they win this game.  They fought against the Packers so it going to be interesting to see if they still have it in them this week.
Bucs (+3) Loss

Panthers vs. Colts
Newton puts on a show every week, but the defense gets beaten up every game.  The Colts have nothing to defend though, and I see Newton getting his first road win in this one.
Panthers (-3.5) Win

Cardinals vs. Rams
Both teams can’t put it together this year, but im going to go with the better QB in this one.  Although he has had a terrible season, I still like Bradford and think he can pull this one out at home.  Kolb is once again out for the Cardinals so Skelton will start, and I don’t think he will be able to win this game for the Cardinals.
Rams (-2.5) Loss

Bills vs. Jets
Jets need a win if they want to have a chance for the playoffs.  Simply put, if they can not beat a Bills team that can’t buy a win and that lost their best player, then they don’t deserve to make the playoffs.  I look for Sanchez to fall back on his favorite target from last year, Dustin Keller.  If he finds the guy he is comfortable with again, then he will be bale to relax and get the big win here.  I think the Jets get it done this week and take advantage of a wounded Bills team.
Jets (-9.5) Loss

Texans vs. Jaguars
Jacksonville’s offense is horrendous.  Even with Matt Leinart starting at QB for Houston, I think they will win this game.  They might get over 100 rushing yards from both Tate and Foster in this one, and if Leinart can just get the ball out, then Andre Johnson will have a great game in his return this weekend.
Texans (-6.5) Win

Bears vs. Raiders
Chicago is without Cutler and will rely heavily on Forte.  I think Forte needs to have a huge game, but he is only averaging 3.18 yards per carry in the last 2 weeks.  Chicago needs to hope that he is not tiring out, because with Caleb Hanie behind center replacing Cutler, it is going to be a run first offense, but not sure if its enough in Oakland against Palmer who is 2-1 as their starter.  McFadden is still out, but Bush is filling in great and I think they will win this one.
Raiders (-3) Win

Redskins vs. Seahawks
Washington gets Moss back this weekend and are coming off an OT loss to Dallas at home.  They can air it out with Grossman starting again but Seattle is a tough place to get a win.  I think it will be a close game, and I will take the Redskins getting 3.
Redskins (+3) Win

Patriots vs. Eagles
Patriots should win this game, but I wonder if the huge win in New York sparks the Eagles.  I think they stick close to the Patriots in this game if they play inspired.  If they fall behind early, then I think they get blown out.
Eagles (+3.5) Loss

Broncos vs. Chargers
Each week the Chargers push Norv Turner closer and closer to the exit door.  Rivers leads the league in interceptions and the Broncos have been playing good defense as of late.  Plus, the Broncos have Tebow, so therefore I am not thinking about this game much, instead, I am just taking Tebow.  I mean the Broncos.
Broncos (+6) Win

Steelers vs. Chiefs
Pittsburgh has had a week of rest to get Big Bens thumb healthy.  They face a reeling Kansas City team, and will take this game.
Steelers (-10.5) Win

Giants vs. Saints
Giants usually play close games on the road and the Saints tend to let good offenses keep games close.  The Giants are unpredictable and with them getting 7.5 points, I feel fairly confident in them.  I don't think it's too much of a stretch to think they could win this game.  I think both teams will utilize their tight ends a lot in this one.  Ballard seems to be impressing people with his play this year for the Giants, and Graham is one of the best tight ends in football.  Expect both quarterback to use them heavily in this game. 
Giants (+7.5) Loss

Week 11...A Week I'd Like To Forget...

courtesy © NFL

WOW...what a week...If only my picks were as good as my fantasy team!  So...what went wrong?

Jets vs. Tebow (Broncos) Read my article on Tebow.  We all know how this story ends.
Jets (-6) LOSS

Titans vs. Falcons
As i predicted, a lack of Julio Jones meant an explosive game from Roddy White, complimented by Tony Gonzalez.  White, 7 for 147, and Gonzalez, 5 for 74 and a TD. 
Falcons (-5.5)  WIN

Bills vs. Dolphins
Wow...goodbye to the Bills.  I gave them credit and thought maybe it was just a couple bad losses, and this is what I get in return?  Matt Moore is trying to prove they never needed Luck.
Bills (+2) LOSS

Bengals vs. Ravens
This game could have ended very differently had the refs not, in my mind, blown a call.  An originally ruled TD on the field was overturned to an incomplete pass...I understand why, but don't agree with the rule.  The receiver carried the ball across the end zone and then fell out of bounds and dropped it.  The ball already crossed.  The whole ruling gets me angry.  It is common since that it was a TD...Cincy settled for a field goal, instead of the TD with 5 min left, and came up just short.  Two weeks in a row though taking on a tough divisional opponent, and falling just short.  Shows a lot about the Bengals, they are for real.
Bengals (+7) PUSH

Jaguars vs. Browns
Held my breath here...after Cleveland missed a field goal, the Jags got down the field and had a 4th and goal and 1 second left on the 1 yard line...and they couldn't get it in. Too close for me. 
Browns (-1.5) WIN

Raiders vs. Vikings
Raiders almost gave this one away, but held on.  Bush continued to fill in nicely for McFadden, going 30 for 109.
Raiders (+1)  WIN

Panthers vs. Lions
This was just a crazy game and the game of the day for me.  Cam led the Panthers to a 17 point second quarter lead, and held a 27-14 lead at halftime.  Then came the collapse of the Panthers, as I come to expect.  21 straight points by the Lions, and a 35-27 lead in the fourth quarter, before Cam did it again.  He stormed down field, and got a 6 yard rushing TD, followed by a 2-point conversion to Steve Smith.  35-35. Then a pick by Cam and a quick 2 TDs later, and the Panthers lose again and the Lions cover.  And Stafford, who started the game with 2 picks, ended up throwing 5 TD's after the picks.  What a game.
Panthers (+7) LOSS

Buccaneers vs. Packers
Bucs kept fighting, and kept it closer than I thought it would be.  Had it not been for a very rare pick by Rodgers in the fourth, then it was looking like a 15 point game.
Packers (-14) LOSS

Cowboys vs. Redskins
Skins put on a show here and wouldn't go down easy, pushing it to OT, and turning my push, into a loss.  Another impressive game out of Murray, rushing 25 times for 73 yards and catching 6 passes for 32 yards.  Felix Jones returned, but for only 5 carries and 18 yards.  Murray has ignited this team and although they didn't blow the Skins out, they continue to roll.
Dallas (-7) LOSS

Cardinals vs. 49ers
49er's were too dominant on defense, limiting Beanie Wells to 33 yards and forcing him to fumble.  Skelton got forced out of the game after a 6 for 19 performance, for 99 yards and 3 INT's.
Cardinals (+10) LOSS

Seahawks vs. Rams
Nothing from the Rams in this one, a weak performance against a bad team, one that I thought was worse than the Rams.
Rams (-3)  LOSS

Chargers vs. Bears
Bears continue to dominate, although Cutler looks like he needs season ending surgery on his broken thumb.  They dominated the second half of this one and take away another huge win and continue roll, as the Chargers are in full collapse mode.  They did this without gaudy numbers from Forte (20 for 57), but without Cutler going forward, Forte will have to resume what he had been doing all season.
Bears (-4.5) WIN

Eagles vs. Giants
Giants continue to do what they can to give away the NFC East.  Giants could not find any offense in this one.  And when they were still given a chance in the final minutes, Eli coughed it up to pretty much end the game.  A terrible loss for them and now they have to deal with the Cowboys for the division.  They needed this game at home against a hurt Eagles team, but tonight, the Eagles had more heart.  This was their must win game, against their rivals, and they showed up.
Giants (-5.5) LOSS

Chiefs vs. PatriotsPats dominate the second half at home, like they should against a depleted Chiefs team.  In the process, increase their lead in the AFC East.
Patriots (-14.5) WIN

My Week 11 picks: 5-8-1